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Tim Ferriss
Hello boys and girls, ladies and germs, this is Tim Ferriss. Welcome to another episode of the Tim Ferriss show where it is my job to interview and deconstruct world class performers of different types and my guest today is someone I've wanted to have on for a long time, Max Levchin. Max was born in Ukraine before moving to the US and settling in Chicago in 1991. He taught himself how to code with a pen and paper, with a pad of paper and a pen, under trees, in parks and from those humble beginnings he has gone on to do a million different things. He founded Affirm and Slide, he helped create Yelp and I'll come back to a few of these. He co founded PayPal along with people you would recognize like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk and others. He co created the Captcha, the first commercial implementation and he has now invested in more than 100 startups. Computer scientist, serial entrepreneur, philanthropist, he does it all. He is also the co founder and Chairman of Glo, a data driven fertility company, a firm in Glow were both created and launched from his San Francisco based Innovation Lab, SciFi VC and in 2002, not surprising given everything I just mentioned, he was named to MIT Technology Review's TR100 as one of the top 100 innovators in the world as well as Innovator of the Year. And in this conversation we get into a lot of details of how he thinks about productivity, scheduling, his other obsessions, how he applies his meticulous tracking and performance orientation to other things. There's a lot you can use. Quite a few laughs. We get into the power of fiction, why time is a zero sum game and in some cases pain with a smile. What does that mean? We're going to find out. So you can find all things max@levchin.com, l E V C-H-I-N.com and affirm you can find at affirm.com and almost certainly you have used or you have seen Affirm. Affirm is the payment network that empowers consumers and helps merchants drive growth. And we also get into being born in Ukraine and having front row seats to socialism. What does it actually mean to compare socialism to capitalism? What does it look like in real life? Well, most people treat that as a theoretical exercise and Max has lived both and can tell you all about the comparisons. So with all of that said, what a preamble. Let's get to Max Levchin. Thanks for listening. Enjoy.
Max Levchin
Optimal Minimal at this altitude I can run flat out for A half mile before my hands start shaking.
Tim Ferriss
Can I answer your personal question? No. It is. What if I did the opposite? I'm a cybernetic orbital organism. Living tissue over metal endoskeleton. Max, it's nice to see you. And I wanted to kick this off with a thank you, believe it or not, from what you put into my last book, Tribe of Mentors. And it was in response. You had several responses to this, but it was in response to the metaphorical billboard question. What would you put on a giant billboard anywhere with anything on it? What would it say and why? Any quotes you think of often or live your life by. And there was one that I had never come across because I had never seen the movie Ronin. And the line was, whenever there is any doubt, there is no doubt. And I have come back to this after watching the movie so many times. It's hard for me to even give you an accurate count or even estimate of account, but perhaps we could give people some context. Why was this one of your answers to that question?
Max Levchin
It's a great quote. I love that quote.
Tim Ferriss
So good.
Max Levchin
The next line in the movie. That's the first thing they teach you. I'm only showing off because I love that quote so much too. It's a great quote. Encapsulates so many different flavors. It's like, don't doubt yourself. The real meaning here is you know the answer. You maybe too scared, too embarrassed, too unprepared to sort of embrace the fact that you know the answer, but you know the answer. So, like, let's not mess around. You know the answer. That's layer one. Layer two is make a decision already. Layer three is, even if it's unpleasant, you're gonna have to do it anyway, so don't delay. There's just like so many flavors of the same idea over and over again encapsulated beautifully in just a few words. And so I think it's a great succinct. The other thing, I'm a huge fan of studying leadership. Fan of leadership. Sounded weird. So I love leadership related lessons. And there are two movies where leadership, I think is. Or I'm sure there are more than 2, but 2 of the movies that I fall back on for leadership content is Ronin and Seven Samurai. And Seven Samurai is hard to quote because it's in Japanese and you hear your quote in translation unless you're a native speaker, which I'm not, but Ronan is in English, and so it's great to quote. There's a lot of other great lines but that's the best one.
Tim Ferriss
And one of the layers of explanation that you added to it, which I ended up applying, it made it very concrete for me, which I think you've already done. But it was when you aren't sure, I'm quoting from what you put in the book here is when you aren't sure about a key employer or co founder, odds are exceedingly low. Your mind will be changed for the better. And the way I translated that for myself and I kept thinking of this and I modified it slightly for myself, if there is any doubt. There is no doubt. Just to say that if you are analytically trying to convince yourself of something that doesn't feel right and you have to cross examine that intuition sometimes, but chances are you know the answer. Particularly at least in my experience with employees and hires, it's always I should have done that a lot sooner. At least in my very limited experience, you have infinitely more experience with that. So thank you for that. And on the Japanophile angle of things, having lived there, I'm still very close to my host family who I stayed with when I was 15. I am no longer 15. I think some people will realize. But I was wondering, have you ever seen the movie Paprika? This is an old anime. It's from 2006 I believe.
Max Levchin
I don't think I have.
Tim Ferriss
And if you haven't, it might be interesting. It will be not too much of a spoiler because there's so much around it, but here's the basic premise. Psychiatrists invented device called the DC Mini that allows therapists to enter and record patients dreams. And then when the prototypes are stolen by an unknown dream terrorist, A, B and C starts to happen. What's crazy about this is that there are actually researchers in Kyoto in Japan who have been using FMRI and waking dream subjects to try to use machine learning to then correlate brain activity to content. And they've made some surprising progress with being able to do that. It's still very very low resolution. But I don't know how far away we are from being able to do something like is depicted in Paprika, which is pretty crazy.
Max Levchin
I used to be a voracious consumer of both manga and anime and it turns out that time is still a zero sum game for most things. And so I've drifted off my weekly supply of Japanese content production. But I will definitely make room for that one. The thing with FMRI and brain modeling, at least last I looked and before I sort of picked to do the thing that I'm doing now with a firm I actually looked pretty seriously into. I'm a huge sort of a closet fan of brain computer interface and all sort of surrounding ideas and opportunities. I've looked on and off at FMRI and all the other sort of stuff in a domain, and it just seems that your cranium is too dense. It's hard to get signal of very superficial connectivity from. And you have to shave your head, which you've done.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah, face that one.
Max Levchin
I'm not yet prepared. And of course you have to experiment on yourself, otherwise, what's the point? But I'm actually pretty excited about some of the newer things happening in brain computer interface, specifically in things like ultrasound, because I think we're finally looking at. Penetrating is a scary term. I don't mean that like physically penetrating, but getting into a few inches into your brain versus just scanning the current of the top of the skull is exciting.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah, for sure. And looking at neuromodulation, things like focused ultrasound could hit, say, the nucleus succumbens for various substance abuse issues or addiction issues and so on. So it's pretty exciting.
Max Levchin
That's definitely front and center of a lot of really cool research. And feel like we're hanging around in the same pseudo. Kind of Also sounds wrong, but probably hang out in the same circles.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah, I want to actually stay on the fiction thread for a minute because I was actually hanging out with one of our, I suppose, many overlapping connections, Luke Nosek. And I asked him what I should ask you, since you guys go way, way, way back. And here's the question. This is from him. Well, first of all, obviously, he's a huge fan. Oh, man, so many early memories. I miss working with him. But here's the question. Something I always wondered is that we all had Cryptonomicon as required reading. So I want you to explain that. I love that book.
Max Levchin
It's a great one.
Tim Ferriss
Went to the financial crypto conference. Max wanted to use CRYP cryptography to make a new money system. How close were we to really solving the same problem as the bitcoin algorithm? Or something along those lines? So maybe you could just provide some backdrop here for people who have absolutely no context to put this together.
Max Levchin
So that was one of the weirder dual track. Am I in a dream? Is this a simulation? Experiences of my life, Full context. So Luke and I were classmates. I think he was ahead of me by a year in school, but we were at University of Illinois together and worked on a couple of failed startups together there. So we go way back. We're really close friends. And as we all made our way to Silicon Valley, I hung around campus because I actually really wanted to research in cryptography, which back then crypto meant cryptography, not cryptocurrency. But I've always thought that there's interesting opportunities in currencies, currency to be invented powered by cryptography. So I was obsessed with things like David Chaum's work in anonymizing signatures. Digicash was a thing back in prehistoric times.
Tim Ferriss
And what's the in prehistoric times? Like what year roughly?
Max Levchin
So I graduated at U of I in 1997. Digicash, which was the granddaddy of all cryptocurrencies. I hope I'm not offending anyone's prior art, but I believe it was probably the very first attempt to make a real digital currency using cryptography. I believe it went bankrupt. In the summer of 98, the year I moved to Silicon Valley, I actually went to the pouring one out on the curb party held on kind of somewhat less explicably, one of the picnic grounds at Stanford University happened to be there. It was actually a really good lesson. Took that away with me to PayPal where there's a bunch of people, people you know today, people who are very active in crypto, cryptocurrencies, but also just interesting famous people, famous today were all very young back then. And the conversation was around this idea like how the world is not ready for this yet. The digicash and digital currencies people aren't ready in 98. This is like 10 years before the bitcoin paper. So I'm sure they were right, but the conversation was really around. It's obviously the right thing to do, the right way to do it. People just don't get it yet. And as a sort of naive, freshly minted computer science graduate, I was like, well, or the user interface sucks. It's really hard to have this very, very slow RSA computation happening on your crappy laptop. If you're trying to pay for a cup of coffee, it's just too slow. And people are like, ah, heathen, you don't understand what you're talking about. No time, too long to wait for a digital signature non repudiation like, okay, great, but seriously, I just want a cup of coffee. So it was kind of an early moment. Like I feel like some of these things are not like the others anyway. And so I had literally within days of that event, I met Peter Thiel at Stanford. He was giving a lecture, I was hanging around Stanford campus. Luke was actually the connective tissue. He knew Peter and he went to school with me. And so he was kind of like, oh, yeah, you guys should know each other. This was great that you ran into one another. So the origins of PayPal story were literally being made that summer, and I was still like, sure, I'm going to start a company in Silicon Valley doing something, I don't know what. But I was still going to scientific conferences. So there was this one conference called Financial Cryptography. It was held in Anguilla, which is a kind of a small island off British West Indies. And there's all sorts of interesting characters. It'll probably deserve its own podcast one day, but it's an interesting, hilarious, bizarre story. I'm 99% confident whoever Satoshi is was probably going to the same conference at the same time as we were, but Luke and I were there. And then another year, Peter and I went there, and after PayPal was already a thing, I presented something basically saying, hey, so we built this thing. It has a great user interface. And I was there when Digicache failed. And I think it failed because of user interface. And this was now a couple of years into PayPal, and we were definitely doing well, and Digicash was definitely dead. And people were in the audience going like, boo. You totally don't get it. And we're like, okay, clearly, maybe there's a reason why we're succeeding. Anyway, as we were doing all this stuff, Neal Stephenson publishes the first 100 pages of Cryptonomicon. And so as we're coding, and I'm literally coding 247 steam cons out of my ears every day because I don't eat, I don't sleep. The six of us are just in the office together, and three of us are basically just typing code as quickly as we can because we have this thing we have to build, and the only thing we take breaks for is we're trying to read Cryptonomicon. And the more we read, the more we're like, we think he's writing about us. The first few chapters of CryptoMechicon is this development of digital currency using cryptography. And he's literally talking about. I think he actually references Digicache and he's referencing User interface sucks. And somebody needs to build something more user friendly. So we're like, am I in a dream? Is this real? Sitting next to Russ, one of our earliest engineers, who I also went to college with another Luke Nosek friend, And we're like, if we didn't know any better. This is all just like a big brain in a vat experiment. We just don't know whose brain it is. It's being described to us in a book that's being published online and then we ran out of pages and it wasn't published for a little while longer. Like, how will we know what to build next? We don't have the book anymore. That's like the extended Cryptonomicon story.
Tim Ferriss
Wow. And for folks who have never heard of this book, it's an incredible read. I mean, it's in retrospect, I suppose, quaint in some ways, but so prescient in so many other ways. Just phenomenal. I remember ripping through that book and like all Neal Stephenson books, it's like 5,000 pages long.
Max Levchin
This book's only 4,000.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah,
Max Levchin
it's a great book.
Tim Ferriss
It's so good. One name that has come up on this podcast more than once is Dr. Valter Longo, USC professor with decades of peer reviewed research on fasting, nutrition and aging. And as some of you long term listeners know or readers, I regularly fast. I've done a lot of experimentations with fasting over more than a decade, including intermittent fasting, extended water only fasts out to 10 days. And I've looked at the before and after. Frankly, the fasting has been one of the most incredible unlocks that I have found. The before and after. Looking at glucose control, oral glucose tolerance tests, hemoglobin A1, C, et cetera. All these things that really do matter for the long term, for mental health, for physical health have had dramatic, dramatic shifts. And I've talked about that before. But the sad truth, the truth about fasting is that it can be really hard. And that is why Valter is interesting. He's best known for something called the fast mimicking diet, fmd, which is essentially a way of eating that produces many of the benefits of fasting while still allowing you to eat food. So if we look at that a little more closely, he took what he learned in these randomized controlled trials and so on and packaged it into a five day program called Prolon P R, O L O N. It's five days. So for five days you restrict your food a bit and what Prolon does is makes it idiot proof comes in one box. Everything is laid out. There's no guesswork, you just follow the packages. And in scientific studies, five day cycles of the fast mimicking diet, improved markers tied to metabolic health and aging, help people drop fat while holding onto lean muscle and even associated with measurable drops in biological age and to put some numbers to it with glycemic management, blood sugar management, we were able to see in one RCT improvements in 53% of FMD participants versus 8% of controls. So it does make a difference. You get the benefits of fasting including autophagy, your body's cellular self cleanup process while still eating real structured plant based meals so so you don't have to negotiate with yourself, you don't have to struggle. It all comes in one box and it's right there laid out, simple to follow. And there are other people you recognize, friends of mine like Rich Roll who also have used Prolon For a limited time, Prolon is offering my listeners 15% off site wide plus a 40% bonus gift. When you subscribe to their 5 day program just visit prolonlife.com Tim that's P R O L O N l I f e.com tim to claim your 15% discount and your bonus gift. Most people's finances live in say a dozen places. This includes me, accounts, cards, investments and more that never talk to one another. It's hard to keep track of this episode's sponsor and one of my team's absolute favorite tools. Monarch is the all in one personal finance app that uses AI to give you a complete, organized view of your money, accounts, investments, net worth, savings goal. All in one place, always up to date. A bunch of my friends also love this. Monarch has helped users save more than $200 per month on average and you can ask it all sorts of things. You can ask Monarch's AI assistant anything about your money. Am I on pace to hit my savings goal by December? Or how has my travel spend trended over the last six months? You can ask it anything. Monarch then analyzes months of data so you don't have to. And with AI insights, Monarch flags things you don't think to look for so it can go beyond your question. And now you can get half off of your first year of Monarch with code Tim@monarch.com that's just $50 for your first year at monarch.com with code Tim. One more time. Monarch.com that's M O N A R C H monarch.com code Tim.
Max Levchin
My college life was shaped by snow crash, probably the thing that really put him on the map. And I read that there was like a dog eared version of it hanging around one of the offices that I sort of hung out in college and I was like this is the most amazing thing ever. This book sort of shapes my at least software engineering Life and then Crypto Ramican was the next one. I was like, all I need to do is just read more Neal Stephenson and he'll show me the way. There were some really long books after which sort of were quite challenging to get through. But then we got to reamd, which was another gift. So I'm reviewing my preferences here.
Tim Ferriss
He's like the digital Nostradamus in the world of fiction.
Max Levchin
Totally.
Tim Ferriss
Snow Crash, for people who also are not familiar, is where the term. I believe it's where the term Metaverse was first coined. Is in that book.
Max Levchin
Exactly.
Tim Ferriss
And those Boston Dynamics, I think that's the company with the cute, terrifying, possibly soon to be weaponized robotic dogs. Go check out Snow Crash there in that book.
Max Levchin
Yes. Snow Crash basically presented an alternative to Neuromancer. Neuromancer was this dark dystopian also, by the way, first book I read when I came to the us Neuromancer. Yeah. So two things actually. Are we in a simulation? So I come to the U.S. july 16, 1991. Six weeks, I think, before Soviet Union fails. But I leave Soviet Union and I come into this dreamland of America. And then six weeks later, my passport is a passport to. Doesn't have a country anymore. And so I become a man with no state and et cetera, et cetera, makes for an interesting travel existence. But I'm like an ultra, ultra nerd. And I was like the king of the nerds in my prior life. And this is a summer, so I don't know where I'm going to find my people. But six weeks go by, Soviet Union fails, and I start a public high school in Chicago. And I'm sort of casting around for my people and I run into these guys who are still really good friends of mine. And they're like, oh, you're one of us. We have a word for this. You're a nerd. It's great. You like science fiction. Great. You love science fiction. Have you read Neuromancer? Have you seen Akira? They're like, no, hasn't made it to Soviet Union yet. I was fluent in English. It was not a difficult conversation to have. But they're like, okay, here's a VHS of Akira. Here's a copy of Neuromancer. Go home and don't come back until you've been completely filled with these things. And I was like one, these are going to be my friends for life. Which turned out to be true. It's been 30 odd years and we're still talking to each other every day. And it's like the beginnings of completely different science fiction consumption experience. That said, for the next few years I was like Neuromancer and everything that came after. Neuromancer is the dark sort of plug your brain in future. And Snow Crash offers this hilarious, completely different consumerist, satirical version of the plug your brain in versus this Dark corporations rule the world, ninjas in skin suits and kill you while you're plugged into a deck trying to hack your way into some corporations. Anyway, so you're walking me down the memory lane to some fun recesses.
Tim Ferriss
Well, there are a few pieces of commentary on that. Number one, you got to watch Pepper. Rico I'm on is very adorable in its attempt manually to do what we could do with CGI and so on now, but it is all the more impressive for what it is able to accomplish with hand drawn cells. I mean, it's just bananas. So it's worth checking out. Neuromancer Also, I believe, and I'm not alone in this, that sci fi is a great place to go looking for the future, but it's also a great place to go looking for philosophy. So I want to share a couple things from William Gibson and these are the kind of quotes that will stick with you. When the past is always with you, it may as well be the present, and if it is the present, it will be the future as well. Noodle on that for a minute. And I'm going to get this paraphrase wrong, but I'm going to get it, as they say in Silicon Valley, sort of directionally correct, which is the future is already here. It's just not evenly distributed. Something along those lines. In any case, I'm getting off track. You probably weren't anticipating, nor was I, that this was going to be like a roll call of fiction. But I want to come back to something that you had in Tribe of Mentors and it's related to books. I asked you what book or books you've given the most as a gift and why, and one that I've still not read. I'm very embarrassed to say this is the Master and Margarita missing out. Yeah. So this is now on my to do list. I'm going to let you fill in the blanks here. But you said I usually buy Emine, which even though literally five lines above it, it says the Master of Margarita. I was like M&Ms. In batches of five. But you give it as gifts to new friends.
Max Levchin
I do.
Tim Ferriss
You always have copies on your desk at work in case Someone wants to borrow one. Why? What makes this book so special? Who's the author? What's the background?
Max Levchin
It's a great book. It is well translated by a couple of different translator teams, so you can almost not go wrong buying one of the last three translations. There's about six that I remember exist in English. Anyway, I would not bother with the first three.
Tim Ferriss
I think one is Peweyar Pevyar and
Max Levchin
Volkonsky is the kind of canonical, great translation into English. The book is actually in Russian originally. There's now a new one I'll remember in a second with my own OCD exactly who this is. But Petyar Volkonsky is a fantastic, very good translation. Anyway, it was written by Mikhail Bulgakov, who is arguably the greatest Russian language writer of the 20th century, in my biased opinion. There's a lot of great Russian language writers, so it's a bit of a fish in a barrel type situation, like who's a great Russian author? And there's some fantastic science fiction Russian authors, incidentally, but he wrote many books and all of them are really good. The premise for Master Margarita. So it's set in kind of an early 1920s Moscow. So Soviet Revolution happened, the Russian Civil War ended, the place is now socialist and sort of slipping into socialist bureaucracy building mode. And yet it's a socialist paradise in the making. And so the devil, like the Prince of Darkness, visits socialist Moscow in the summer of 1925, let's say with a coterie of caricatures like from what you would expect, Devil to hang out with, wreaks absolute havoc on the socialist paradise. So first of all, it's a book within a book, which is one of my favorite plot devices. The main character, the eponymous master, is a writer who wrote a book about the last days of Christ. It's a book about crucifixion. A lot of it is in the book. It's interspersed with the chapters of the original. And obviously Bulgakov wrote both, but he's very much referencing himself. So he was in Moscow during the revolution and on, and very quickly ran afoul of Stalin and was also, because he was such a prolific and brilliant author, was Stalin's favorite author, was persecuted, ultimately asked for permission to leave the country because he couldn't be himself, he couldn't write. Stalin apparently permitted it, but then he died before this could happen. It's a little autobiographical story of the writer himself. It's a story of devil making a mockery of socialist paradise. It's a story of Christ and his Last Days on Earth, told by an amazing writer, both the author of the book and the book's author, also known as the Master. It would take many hours, and at some point I'd be like, you know what? You should go read the book. Because it's so amazing. But it is one of the best portrayals, certainly the earliest brilliant portrayal of Homo seviticus, what happens to the human mind when exposed to rampant socialism. And it is funny as hell because having grown up there or spent 16 years there, the insanity of living in a socialist paradise, and yet you don't have enough to eat. It's tragic, obviously, but it's also very funny. The book does it amazing justice. And it's like super duper supernatural, sort of science fictiony in what's possible. There are flights, there are witches, there is a devil Sabbath. There's all kinds of crazy shit that happens there. It's amazing.
Tim Ferriss
Something for everyone.
Max Levchin
It's an amazing book.
Tim Ferriss
And it's shorter than most Neal Stephenson books, at least is my impression.
Max Levchin
It's like a quarter length or a fifth of a short Neal Stephenson product. So it's definitely very accessible. It's also, incidentally, not to overshare. It is the reason I am married to the woman I am.
Tim Ferriss
Okay, I'm not going to let that pass. Yeah, please expand.
Max Levchin
We met completely randomly through a sheer accident. And both were predisposed to be like, who is this weird person? Why am I talking to whoever this girl is, Whoever this guy is. And then I thought she was quoting Master Margarita. And I was like, before I found my way out of this conversation, I've got to find out. It's my favorite book. It's always been my favorite book. How can I not? So. Because I know the book as well as I do, because we're speaking in Russian, I quoted the next line and she was like, oh, my God, Master Margarita, that's my favorite book. Like, no, it's my favorite book. And it's been 27 years and two children and a very happy life together.
Tim Ferriss
Incredible.
Max Levchin
So this, I think it's a book that many things in my life are owed to, by the way, to give credit where it's due. She's the one who said, oh, my God, that is the best line I've ever heard in a movie referencing whenever there's doubt, there's no doubt. So she deserves full credit for this.
Tim Ferriss
Full circle. Oh, boy. Yeah, the brain in the vet question just keeps popping up. So let's actually talk about your wife for a second and your relationship for a second because I was texting with another mutual connection, Sami Inkinen, who is also an absolute monster Endurance fan. And we were texting back and forth about that. I was chatting with him and I know you're an investor in Virta Health, which people should check out also. Let me just pull it up here because he shot me over a couple of different options for questions. I asked him the same thing and I'll give you a sampling and then I'll indicate the one that most caught my attention. I asked him about what it's like to cycle with you and he said, well if you're going to be riding with him, just know he pretty much goes all out always for the first 90 minutes no matter who he's riding with. But enjoy. And I was like I'm not going to be riding with him, don't worry. And then he had a number of questions. Right. Grew up a super intense engineer now, now a well rounded CEO leader. What did it take to go from one to the other cycling? Why did he go fully all in a few years back? Which is actually kind of an interesting question because I know that's been part of your life really, really consistently on a near daily basis for much longer than a few years. But third, this is the one that caught my attention. He's essentially working with his wife on sci fi, his family, office, vc. What's his advice after years of experience regarding working with a spouse? So that's the one that I wanted to hit next.
Max Levchin
You got to marry Wright. Otherwise it's hard to work.
Tim Ferriss
Well what are your thoughts on marrying?
Max Levchin
Right.
Tim Ferriss
If you have thoughts on that.
Max Levchin
I do actually. I've spent a lot of time thinking. I spent a lot of time thinking about all kinds of random stuff and this is no exception. The line marry up is a line people use all the time and I think that's kind of a. That's cute. What it really and I agree with it. I just think it deserves unpacking. I was asking myself actually a question. Why is our relationship as good as it is and it is really good and is there anything to learn about co founding companies? You're co founding a family. When you marry someone you get together with someone and are there parallels? And I was contemplating all this stuff and I sort of realized that I've had many co founders over the years and some were amazing relationships and others didn't work out. And it's always tempting to blame yourself but. But you obviously have to examine it through the lens of what fell apart as A relationship between two co founders. And I realized that the secret for my marriage is I'm still trying to impress this girl. Every day I roll out of bed thinking like, one, how did I get this? This is definitely better than I should have gotten. So clearly I got to work on this. I can't let her find out that she married down. And so the attempt to impress your mate on a daily basis is the secret to the best marriage. And I think that the good ones are where both sides are kind of secretly thinking, I definitely lucked out. This is so much better than I should have gotten. And so if the feeling is mutual, you're going to go very far together. Just constantly trying to grow and come up with new tricks, new ideas, new you don't let yourself be stale because you're watching the person next to you grow and become more well rounded, more intelligent, more successful, et cetera, et cetera. So that's sort of the secret to our relationship. And everything I've accomplished in my life since we've met has been modulated by her. We keep on referring to this her. So her name is Nelly, I think. I suspect many of our mutual connections refer to her as the sort of the actual reason behind anything that I've done successfully in my life. It is true. She's been extraordinary at both calling my BS out when there is some and pushing me at the things like whenever there's doubt, there's no doubt situation, saying, hey, trust your gut, make a decision. This isn't the right person, this isn't the right idea, et cetera, and so on. One fun fact. So we met in the very early days of PayPal. So that same sort of the summer of 98 is when the seeds were underground for PayPal. Early 99 is when we started. My wife and I met in mid 99, so exactly a year after I moved to Silicon Valley. And so she witnessed the entire PayPal saga from the front row seat. After PayPal, I was like, anything but financial services. I'm going to go build some other stuff. But I can't allow my sophomore act to be in the shadow of my freshman act. And she sort of said, do whatever you want, obviously you have a right to come up with anything. But I'm just going to tell you, man, that's clearly what you're meant for. And so you go on. So seven years later, after I've been meandering through a desert, she's like, I think I said it before, but I just want you to know it's still true. Maybe you should go do what you're good at. And firm is very much a product of that conversation. I was like, I think she's right. I think I'm a one trick pony. And the trick, good trick though. So here it is anyway, trying to impress your mate, trying to impress your co founder every day because you can see the other person progressing in front of you and get better and smarter and more intimidating by way of just being so much sharper, so much more interesting than they were when you met. Is a great motivator. It keeps you on your toes, makes you work harder at improving yourself, yourself.
Tim Ferriss
And on top of that, what have you learned about working with a spouse or collaborating with a spouse? Because sometimes spouses can be often very well matched and have a dynamic like the dynamic you describe, but they have some compartmentalization or separation. And I've met so many friends and even have some neighbors where they've just attempted to retire, sort of like a failed retirement. And then one neighbor was describing this to me. His wife is also very active, has got tons of big projects she's working on and he doesn't know what to do with himself. So he'd like sit down at the breakfast table while she's on her laptop and he'd be like, so what are you up to today? And she was like, took off her glasses very slowly and she said, you know, I'm not used to checking in with you every morning. You need to get a job, right? So working together is a very different thing when you have that. And maybe I'm overstating the extent to which you guys sort of collaborate in that way, but any thoughts or recommendations for people who are entering that type of relationship with a spouse?
Max Levchin
It can definitely get hairy, for lack of a better term, if you're not thoughtful about it. So you have to think through, you have to talk through what makes sense, what doesn't. We are well matched because I am quite technical, have lots of interest in the technical depths of matters that we work on together. She works on, I work on, et cetera. And she has an extremely strong finance background and understands business models and kind of philosopher of business these days. And so our conversations are very rarely about checking each other's work, which is where I think you could really end up with like, why are you checking my homework?
Tim Ferriss
Nitpicking.
Max Levchin
Don't micromanage what I'm good at. And also, she's an incredible empath and I'm not. I frequently be like, so I'm dealing With this in my day job, why is this person unhappy? Can you explain to me? And she's incredibly good at that. And so I think because we are such kind of non overlapping areas of strength, we end up being very complimentary. If anything, we tend to be like, wait a second, we're on your stuff. Why are you bouncing to mine? We need to finish that thread. Both of us have pretty active professional lives and so we're constantly discussing them, but we don't, I think, ever run into or step on each other's toes. She doesn't ask me, what's your token budget? Any more than I ask her, how did you make this hiring decision? Or how did you decide that this was a bad investment opportunity with Paul? I'm pretty sure she looked at it with all the tools she's gotten. They're better than mine. But you have to be prepared to communicate and it does not hurt to be direct with one another. And so you have to be able to take on directness without hurt feelings. And a great one liner. Another gift from my wife. She didn't come up with it, but she had read it somewhere and she's like, here's a new model for our family unit. Don't go to bed angry. Stay up and fight.
Tim Ferriss
You guys put that into practice.
Max Levchin
We don't fight too often, but we definitely don't let curfew prevent us from hashing out whatever it is our differences are at the moment. We try very hard not to let things fester, and that works really well. If you're going to overlap familially and professionally, you better deal with conflict or disagreement quickly because you are accruing areas of negative overlap faster than most people do. You're like, I hate the wing chew, but I love you. All the other ways we gotta talk about that, but it's not an important thing. It's like, I hate the way you chew. And by the way, you've belittled me by checking on my token budget. It's like compounding frustrations and marriages fail because people just don't say out loud, like, here's a thing that I'm not sure I'm prepared to put up with. Just gotta stay up and fight. Get it out of there.
Tim Ferriss
Stay up and fight. It'll be the title of this podcast, Max Levitation.
Max Levchin
Stay up and fight.
Tim Ferriss
You mentioned earlier, Time is a zero sum game. I want to talk about about obsession and analysis and tracking for a second. Because ultimately the question is, how do you choose what to track? This is pulling from a Men's Journal piece that came out in 2018, so some of it is dated. But today, if you can name it, Levchin has quantified it. Food he spent weeks using his iPhone to photograph all of his meals and snacks and later gauge nutritional values. Sidebar From Tim I did that too. I still can't believe that say the Dexcom app doesn't give you some estimate of caloric content or macros. It's just like you ate chicken. I'm like, that's not helpful anyway. Coming back to sleep as an overtaxed entrepreneur as the parent of two children under the age of five, Levchin determined his minimum threshold by shaving five minutes off of each successive night. Interpersonal relations and time management Levchin says he once spent a month grading every business and personal meeting on a scale of 1 to 10 on several metrics like usefulness, intellectual stimulation, and social stimulation. It goes on and on.
Max Levchin
It sounds like a weirdo, but I feel like that's all true. Oh man.
Tim Ferriss
So I've done lots of this too. I'm just curious how you have over time determined what to track and maybe what you're paying attention to outside of affirm business metrics and things internal to affirm and we'll get to affirm. But I'm just wondering for yourself, outside of that company professional context, how do you choose what to track?
Max Levchin
I've definitely gotten much better at deciding what matters, what doesn't. So when this article was written, I'm sure no metric looked dumb, no metric looked superfluous. I was like, great. Counting the number of times I trimmed my fingernails. What was there signal in that? As you age, you replaced raw compute and willingness to engage in raw compute with pattern recognition and occlude paths that you don't need to travel down because you know there's nothing there. Like there's absolutely no value in tracking your fingernail clippings or rate they're off. I've become more focused on tracking sleep because there's more and more science showing that that's really important. Even that I sort of used to obsess over a bunch of metrics and I think at this point the sort of reasonably cutting edge and better than I do. I think these days resting heart rate and heart rate variability are the two really good anchors. If you keep one down, keep the other one up, that predicts your recovery, predicts your intellectual capacity for the day really well. So I track that pretty obsessively. I try to stay in bed right number of hours I'M a lot less obsessed with I don't need to sleep more than X, so better be bullet out of bed by X +1 second. I'm also not precious about, you know what, I don't feel like I need any more sleep. I'm just going to go and tool around and do more stuff. So I've relaxed a bunch on things that I found to be less impactful to my own life. But I have the benefit of spending a bunch of years obsessing over everything and deciding, well, it doesn't seem to matter that much what I eat, for example. So for a long time I was obsessed with the exact sort of caloric and macro targets. And then at some point I had to travel a lot more than I used to. And obviously that goes out the window because you can't bring your favorite yogurt with you everywhere you go. And so you, you end up like, well, I'm just going to have to have some fermented foods from the assortment available in this geography. And it turns out that basically your gut health is going to be okay if so long as you're having enough fermented foods versus the fermented food you've selected for yourself, so you relax some constraints and move on to spending less time thinking about them. I track sleep. I'm still an obsessive cyclist, so I track every metric you can imagine. I become more obsessive as a cyclist, actually bothers me a little bit. But because I'm unwilling to believe that I'm ever going to age properly, I keep on looking for marginal gains by obsessing over the exact crank length adjustments I can put myself through just to return some of you marginal watts that I lose with age. I've gone from believing that all you need is cycling to widening my physical training routine too. So it's maybe slightly more brain allocated to what's the right day to lift heavy weights versus the right day to not do that.
Tim Ferriss
Not to be a salty old dog, but in the early 2000s, back in the day when I was running my own e commerce business, the tools were atrocious, they tried hard, but man was it bad. You had to cobble all sorts of stuff together. I could only dream of a platform like Shopify. Shopify is the commerce platform behind millions of businesses around the world and now 10% of all e commerce in the US is on Shopify. Now back to the early 2000s, then nobody even thought of AI. Who could have predicted, even in the last 24 months, the magic that is now possible with AI. Shopify has been ahead of the curve and they are packed with helpful AI tools that will accelerate everything. Write product descriptions, page headlines, even enhance your product photography. Best of all, Shopify expertly handles everything from managing inventory to international shipping, to processing returns and beyond. If you're ready to sell, you're ready for Shopify. Sign up for your $1 per month trial and start selling today at shopify.com Tim one more time shopify.com Tim in 2026, stop waiting and start selling with Shopify. I'm curious and I've never asked you this before, but when cycling entered the picture. Because in doing some research for this conversation I can just pull this is from, I believe an alumni magazine, but behind the curtain of Soviet era Ukraine and then your full name, which I cannot pronounce, is Born to a family of Physicists. As a child you struggle to overcome life threatening respiratory diseases and parents are told you won't live past childhood. And with your mother's urging, a determined young Max begins playing the clarinet to build lung capacity. So I mean, that doesn't seem to have the making of a serious cyclist. When did you embrace cycling and what does it give you?
Max Levchin
Also, there's an interesting origin story that actually kind of intertwines Ukraine and clarinet and everything. So I did have some fairly gnarly respiratory stuff when I was a kid and I think my parents probably were scared into throwing everything in the kitchen sink into it. A nice Jewish boy from Ukraine, I probably should have played the violin. But clarinet is a reasonable close second. They're like, oh, but lung capacity, great, let's do that. So that's how I got into Clarnet. There was literally something that will feed the stereotype but also help with the lung capacity development. And so thinking my VO2 max at the time must have been in a single digits or something because I remember just trying to open up my lungs and breathe in and it didn't work. And then everything else I do like, oh well, I can just obsess in measuring it. And and VO2 max is definitely not a thing Soviet Ukraine really measured, but they did have the basic approximation like blow into a tube and see how far you can push the ball. Like all the physics equivalents of lung capacity measurements. And so I was already looking at Quadify itself from a lung capacity perspective as like a 7 year old kid or something. All of this while living in an apartment complex that overlooked Kyiv's only outdoor velodrome. And so my platonic ideal of a manly man who was like a sports phenom was these dudes who would get on the boards of a Kia Velodrome and just put their Watts down and go for an hour or two just ripping through this thing. I was like, wow, one day when I'm not a scrawny little kid with a clarinet, I'm gonna be like that. So I used to sneak into the velodrome when it was closed and try to ride my bike there. Except the cranes would touch the wood boards. One of the worst accidents of my childhood was I had a giant wood splinter in my butt because I crashed at the top of the velodrome trying to do loops and slid down. Of course, these weren't well finished boards. And it was outdoors, so the elements rained on it. Probably not PG13 after this, but anyway, so I always thought cycling. I didn't grow up with a ton of sport in my life. Soccer is prevalent, obviously, in Eastern Europe, but cycling was right there on display every day. If I wanted to see someone who looked just full of life and vigor, I would see a cyclist. And so I always rode a bike as a kid and always rode a bike in college. And sort of, as I got into sort of busier and busier, where this notion of how do you stay sane? Became an important part of the consideration. If you're going to work for three days straight without sleep, you gotta offset it somehow. You can't just sleep it off. You also need to do something to your body versus your brain. I sort of naturally looked at cycling and then back to Nelly when I left PayPal after we got acquired by ebay. I definitely hit a very low point where there's nothing going on in my life that was worth staying up all night for. And she pointed out that I have this amazing bike hanging on the wall that I'd had since, I think, before we met. She's like, why don't you get back on the bike and see if you can find joy in that? And then she knew my stories of rolling around the Kia Velodrome. And so I got on the bike, and it was one of these moments where I went for a ride with a bunch of people, and they were all very serious. Road jewelry, as the saying goes.
Tim Ferriss
I've never heard that.
Max Levchin
It's like, if you're buying more of a bike than you deserve to ride, it's like, that's nice. Road jewelry got there. I was on a beater bike, relatively speaking. I think I brought it from college, actually, and I sort of dropped everybody on the first hill and I was like, oh yeah, I know how to ride a bike. I have big lungs. That clarinet really paid off. And so that was like, I should really invest some time into getting better at this thing. That's how I got into. But I am exactly what they call a hammerhead. So if I see a road, I can't not go fast or at least try to go fast.
Tim Ferriss
What does it give you in terms of dividends? Just on an ongoing basis, a couple of different things.
Max Levchin
So it's definitely, I mean it's a low impact sport. So you can ride a bike for six hours and no part of your body will be in absolute shreds the day after if you at least somewhat know what you're doing. So it's a great just if you have the time and if you're interested in it. It's not a self destructive sport, which some sports are more and others are less. This is definitely one of the less self destructive on the actual physiology. Part of why I like to go hard on the bike is it actually allows me at least to clear my head. It's one of the few times when I'm not constantly playing with some work related concept or thinking through some future ideas or whatever. It's a moment where, where everything gets tuned out and it's just me and the pain in the legs and you're telling yourself go harder, manage your energy, but there's not enough time or cycles left. And also, what if we went to this market now it's a moment to go into a pure moment of flushing whatever's left in the head. And it does keep you healthy. It's a great way to stay alive and be healthy. And then more and more these days it is a lifestyle sport of CEOs and leaders and people who sort of read the same kind of books. And it's another form of a community where you don't have the time to sort of join clubs. And I'm not a big foodie, I'm not a big drinker, I don't have a ton of time for these protracted social events. I try not to go to too many conferences. And yet I'm human, I enjoy human company. And so riding with a pack of people who are interested in similar things is another form of staying engaged.
Tim Ferriss
So I imagine that's a being near people, not a talking with people type of situation. If you're going as hard hard as I suspect you're going, right, Part of
Max Levchin
the trick is if you can still talk and they cannot, then you're doing it right. Cycling takes place over hours and so you can spend some time talking. There's also an important part of cycling culture is the coffee shop ride, where you sort of. You hammer to a coffee shop and then you sort of. Everybody falls in their chairs and gets their pinkies out and sips espresso. And I love coffee almost as much as I like bikes. So it's another part of it.
Tim Ferriss
If we have time, we'll come back to coffee. Because I did dig into that in the research. Two other quotes that you gave for your potential billboard answers. You said, if it were in Marin county. And I'm going to mispronounce this so you can correct me, but it's either Jens or Jens Voight. I'm not sure, but you can correct me in a second. So two quotes from him. Legendary cyclist number one, when my legs hurt, I say, shut up, legs. Do what I tell you to do. That's the first. The second is if it hurts, hurts me, it must hurt the other ones twice as much. That's a great one. It's so applicable in so many contexts. Am I saying that name correctly? Probably not.
Max Levchin
I think it's Jens. I think he's East German. Jens Boat, One of my proudest boats on a bike. I rode with Jens a few years ago now. He used to hang around Northern California. He has a lot of fans, actually. He's transcended the very specific sport of cycling into having a fan base worldwide because he's such a character. The Shut Up Legs. I own multiple pieces of clothing with Shut Up Legs that I did not personally produce. He's famous for that line, but he's a very funny. He's now primarily a commentator bike races, but he is a great embodiment of this culture of endurance. Pain with a smile, if you will.
Tim Ferriss
Pain with a smile. Before we move on, because I do want to ask you a bunch about Affirm and broadly how things you've done with affirm reflections. Your thinking and ability to see things that others don't see. Perhaps. But before we get there, I wanted to come back to Eminem. This book we were discussing earlier and for people who are like, oh, yeah, I meant to write that down. The Master and margarita you wrote here. Just to reiterate some of what you already said. It's a fairly short novel, remarkable in its exceptional depth, exploring everything from fundamentals of Christian philosophy to the fantastical and hilarious satire of soul corrupting 20th century Soviet socialism.
Max Levchin
My God. That's really well put.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah, I Don't think I'm alone in watching some of what's happening in the US and elsewhere with respect to this embrace of socialism or things that go by the name socialism. Perhaps you could apply other labels. And while capitalism is not a panacea for all things, and there are plenty of warts and risks, and humans respond to incentives. As someone who, who came here at 15 or 16, I would just love to hear you speak for a few minutes on what you're seeing and what your thoughts are.
Max Levchin
I'm pretty worried. Not to sort of go all dark immediately, but I think people without the questionable benefit of growing up in the collectivist paradise, to quote the current mayor of New York, don't understand just how corrupting it is. The ideas of socialism are amazing. Me, for my fellow men, and share and share alike, and do the right thing because it's the right thing to do, not because there's a financial incentive to do it. All those things sound amazing. And so it's seductive. The idea of a worker's paradise without the greedy lenders, capitalists, bankers, all the sort of things we were fed as children, or I was fed as a child in Soviet Union. And at first blush you're so like, yeah, it makes sense. People who work hard should have more. And people who are great even though they're not capable of producing valuable things in society because they're good people should have everything that I have, even though I'm working harder than they are. Those things sound pretty good, but they inevitably require a bunch of structural change that just does not work, thanks to human nature and many obvious things like it. For example, one of the greatest mental images I have from growing up in Soviet Union is if you went to a government owned store, and every store of course owned by the government, you would very quickly notice that the people whose job was to sell you things from behind the counter were always very fat, while everyone you knew in your life was always very similar, skinny. And you sort of like, this doesn't make any sense. How do these people who happen to work in food stores are always really well fed? It's like, well, because they're stealing, they get access to the food. And it expands that notion of this idea of everybody just pools all their work product into one big pool and then someone's in charge of fairly distributing it to everyone who needs it. That's from each according to their abilities to eat according to their need, as kind of the socialist communist motto. And it works great. Except people who are doing the actual redistribution get to Keep a lot for themselves and doesn't matter how honest they begin that journey, by the time they get to real power, they become profoundly corrupt and steal and keep and redistribute primarily to themselves. And so that alone is just an indictment of socialism that you cannot not yet around. But it gets worse, because markets, free markets, capitalism, whatever term you want to use, inherently forces competition. If you believe you have a thing that you can sell at a lower price than the other guy, you get the market's attention, you get the business that's available to you because the thing is worth buying by someone. You're going to work on creating a margin for yourself by lowering the cost of production, finding efficiencies, finding some ways of making the thing cheaper for you or cheaper for the buyer so you can compete on price. So all those things do not exist in socialism because it's all centrally planned. We're going to make this many widgets and then we're going to have someone redistribute them to all the right people, full stop. And what happens is there's never the pressure to improve. And so you always make stuff at the government mandated cost and the government mandated price is what's being used to sell it. And so you have natural stagnation. You have a system that rewards graft, gives power to people who are most likely to become graft driven, and prevents anyone else, talented or otherwise, from trying to innovate and improve the efficiency of the system itself. And so it just does not work. And the thing that worries me in the US and the world, this isn't unique to us. Here is the headlines that make you feel like, wow, I would love to live in the world where everyone is fed and everyone gets more or less the baseline of good living. Living is very compelling. It is easy to agree with the recipe for that remains to be the best recipe we know. The best recipe we've discovered as humanity is capitalism, a force for constant creative destruction, where you build the next thing better than the other guy. And yes, his business may be put out because your business thrives, but the beneficiary is the buyer or the user of the product, the buyer of the widget, because you're constantly working to make the whole thing more efficient, efficient. If you eliminate the ability to, or eliminate the need to create efficiencies, you just stagnate. And the death of Soviet Union was surprised to exactly zero people. Because we knew as people who lived there more than most that nothing ever changed for the better. Everything was the same Price, the government mandate a price. And we were still using phones that looked like they were made in 1950s and moved to the US like, oh, you have buttons on your phones. That's amazing. We still still do the clickety, the rotary. Yeah. And so anyway, I can't say enough how the seductive story of socialism really appeals and I can understand why. But if I didn't have my day job, I'd spent a lot of time screaming from every street corner, don't follow for the trap. It's a surefire way of getting to no progress at all.
Tim Ferriss
So affirm on some levels is a, I don't want to say a response, but it's a solution that replaces potentially predatory practices. And we're going to get to that. But I'm wondering how you would explain the current apparent wellspring of attraction to just to keep it simple, socialism in the United States. Are there structural or systemic problems that have contributed to that? Is it mostly sort of demagogues using whatever talking points they think they can leverage to attract votes, et cetera? What are the ingredients in the cocktail that are contributing to this current phenomenon in your mind?
Max Levchin
I'm confident I don't know every strand of this particular disease. It's a complicated issue and I think it is definitely the case that the brochure looks great. The storytelling of do you know someone who's poor? Do you know someone who deserves better? Do you know someone who's been been laid off? It's the case that capitalism can be profoundly unfair, at least to an individual. As a system, as a way of improving the world, it works amazingly well. We've not created anything better. But you get thrown off the bus if you build something that gets outmoded or out competed by another participant in the market. And it can hurt. For the entrepreneur, it looks like failure, which we are wired to accept, but it still hurts. For a worker, it looks like being laid off, which could be catastrophic for a family. For people who sort of misinvested their money or something went wrong, it doesn't look, doesn't taste good. And so the idea of social safety net, the idea of welfare is natural. You hate seeing your fellow men and women starve or not do well. So I understand the definition of the problem. And the notion of income inequality and all the things that we see in Silicon Valley firsthand is very real. It's not like how are you complaining? There are a lot of people who are not doing well. And every new disruptive change, from the Industrial Revolution to the AI revolution There's always someone on the receiving end of the efficiency because their work is no longer required or their products or their ideas are no longer relevant. And so. So socialism is a compelling story of how to protect those people, how to prevent them from suddenly being on the outskirts of society or worse. And I think there's definitely a lot to do to make sure we don't leave our fellow humans behind. Certainly my love of capitalism and free market does not obviate my humanity. I care about people just because I am also human. And I see it as part of my job to ask the question, can we do better? Can we provide the social safety net for everyone? We're creating more and more efficiency, we're creating more and more value. There have to be ways of helping people who are thrown off the bus to make sure they don't end up in a gutter. And I happen to have some solutions that I love and solutions that I think are worthless. The idea of let's concentrate it all in the hands of the government, give a handful of people the right to redistribute it all, all and will do better doesn't work. And I lived to tell the tale. I do think that things like philanthropy is profoundly important and the more disruption we're going through as a society, the more important philanthropy becomes. And I think in that sense, I'm not an especially outwardly religious, but I think religion provides a really useful set of frameworks around how to think about it. Every organized religion has a version of what it means to be philanthropic. And the older I get, the more I start respecting the thought that's sort of been aggregated over the thousands of years that most religions existed. So I think that's super interesting and important and worth participating in. On the other side of it is I think capitalism in particular has created opportunities for products to develop where the sort of optimizing up and to the right of the the most profit at lowest cost ends up building products that are actually devolved from not just their economic platonic ideal, but societal ideal. And I don't think we have to compromise by saying, well, you know what, I don't actually care that this is harmful to someone because it's the most profitable, market efficient thing to do. And my theory for a long time has been that you can build products, certainly financial services that, that are optimal not just from the lens of most profitable, but also most societally beneficial and that's not uniformly distributed. There are plenty of products that look like predatory lending and all the other things or Just make money because the underlying customer doesn't understand what's going on, doesn't have the capacity to deal with the complexity of the math involved. And Affirm is the answer to that question. In some ways what we are doing here is trying to say, look, look, you can optimize a product beyond just making the most money. In fact, it's okay to make a little bit less money if you are able to create something that's societally more successful, more important, because in the long term I think you will have retention that consumers will not go to a cheaper product or a product that is less profitable for its shareholders because it's so societally important. So I am to at least some extent embracing the ideas of pro social product and engineering. I just choose to do it strictly through the lens of capitalism.
Tim Ferriss
I'd like to go to Early Early Affirm. This is parallel to PayPal, which, looking back at say, early fundraising for PayPal, it wasn't exactly like every door at Sandhill Road was opened with a red carpet. I mean it was incredibly hard going. People were like, yeah, no way, impossible, not going to work. I mean, I've had conversations with Reid Hoffman about this. Just like, yeah, no, at every turn, no chance. And I mean ultimately with Peter pulling from the hedge fund and stuff. It's a hilarious story and incredible. Affirm early on. Similarly, it was not obvious. A lot of folks would be of the opinion, credit cards just fine, late fees too profitable. And what I'm wondering, this applies elsewhere to your investing and involvement with companies like, yeah, Yelp and so on. What are you seeing? What gives you confidence? And of course there's a bit of a, in the phrasing of the question, a survivorship bias. So putting that aside for the moment, but what gave you. We could use Affirm as the example, but what gave you the confidence to keep driving? What did you see that other people didn't see? Or what were assumptions you made or hypotheses that you felt just were worse? Worth continuing to hammer on and test because you had some degree of confidence. And what does a firm do? Maybe you should explain that first.
Max Levchin
Well, there's this acronym bnpl, Buy now, pay later, that we kind of invented the genre about 15 years ago. And the basic idea is at the point of sale, most of us pull out a debit card or a credit card. And those who pull out a debit card, generally speaking, think themselves financially responsible and think, if I can't afford it, I'm not going to pay for it. So if I don't have enough in my bank account account. Just not going to buy right now. I'm going to save up or maybe buy something cheaper. If you pull out a credit card, the minority of us who are for all intents and purposes are independently wealthy just say I'm going to put it on my credit card because it's easy and then I'm going to pay it off at the end of the month and I'll get some free float on that, but I'm not going to pay interest or pay over time. The huge percentage of Americans that pull out their credit card and say I'm going to add it to the giant pile of revolving debt that I already have and I'm going to pay interest on it. And I don't really know how to calculate that and I have no idea when I'm going to be out stock of debt. But I need that thing and I'm not disciplined enough to pay for it with cash or I just don't have the cash and I need the thing. And sometimes the thing is like, well I need a new bicycle which we can maybe postpone. And sometimes the thing is like I need a pram to put my baby in. And yeah, I'm just going to have to buy it one way or the other. And so the idea of a firm was and is and it's worked amazingly 15 years in that what if there was a third way where what if you could have the same transparency and, and responsibility and clarity of a financial decision making with a pay over time product that you do have with a debit card. So what if we added the idea of I want to pay for this over time but I don't want it to revolve and I definitely don't want to be confused as to when I'll be out of debt. Essentially turning every transaction into a simple plan. Pay for my baby pram for over six months, let's say $100 at a time doesn't break the bank exactly. Six months out, I'm done. That's it. Not revolving, I'm not paying any more interest or anything like that. And as we sort of described the idea sort of said, well if you're going to do it right, how about you build it so that there is no revolving possible, There's a fixed schedule only that every transaction is pre priced. So if you're paying interest, you know exactly how many dollars of interest you'll ever pay. Even if you take longer, that can't change, that shouldn't change and if you're late, there shouldn't be any late fees. You should just be motivated to pay us on time. Because if you take too long and you're late all the time, maybe we won't lend you next time. So it was sort of almost like a too simple, too black and white a way to lend money as an alternative to credit cards, which is a very long way of answering the question. But it is available now at 3/4 of all E commerce checkouts in the US and Canada and rapidly expanding into to UK and we've announced we're going to go to a bunch of European countries and there's now plenty of competitors that do the same thing. But we were kind of the first, I think there were some obviously logical and spiritual predecessors to this idea, but we sort of purified it down to no fees, no revolving, simple schedule, everything is pre priced, everything is super transparent. And this year we'll do almost $50 billion of these transactions. So it's definitely, it's worked out, it
Tim Ferriss
seems to be working.
Max Levchin
It seems to be working. We're probably to trying trade it quite profitable, have been profitable for a bunch of time. The last 10 quarters we grew 30 plus percent year over year or faster. So it's both very big, growing really well. Still never charged a penny of late fees, never charged a penny of revolving interest. So we're still true to the idealistic nature. And so as I was describing the product, I talked to a bunch of banking people who laughed at me and be like okay dude, you don't get it. You've obviously never lent money for a living. Late fees is where the profit is. Half the profit comes from late fees. So you just cut your profitability opportunity by half. So putting that aside, if you don't revolve, what are you going to do when people take too long to pay you back? You want them to take forever, you want them to make minimum payments so the principal keeps being big and then interest will compound into principal. It'll be amazing. All that sounds crappy. None of this sounds transparent, none of this makes any sense. And people in Silicon Valley who generally speaking don't need these services, don't get just how significant the cost is on your regular consumer that doesn't have a seven digit digit salary, et cetera. And so as I was sort of trying to raise money for this idea, I would talk to VCs and they're like, I don't know, why can't they use their platinum Amex? Because they don't have a platinum amex. Yeah, but why don't they get a platinum? I'm exaggerating, but only slightly. Right. Anyway, so that was kind of the difficulty raising money for this financial services company, unlike PayPal, was I couldn't convince anybody this was a thing that normal people would use.
Tim Ferriss
How did you land on this, though? How did you even get to the point where you're like, this is the deck I'm going out with, and this is what I'm pitching?
Max Levchin
The earliest version of this thing is actually pretty funny abridged, since it's a colorful story and actually Luke is involved. Weird. Luke makes another.
Tim Ferriss
I like colorful stories. We're not in too much of a rush. Yeah, take your time.
Max Levchin
Right after PayPal went public, Luke and I. I mean, Luke is a wild and crazy guy. You've met him. I think he talks me. I'm go with. He talks me into. But I'm already dating Nelly, and I'm trying to impress Nelly. I'm still trying to impress Nelly every day. But I decided the way to impress Nelly is to get a really cool convertible. And so Luke and I find this convertible. Mercedes just launched their first hardtop convertible. So we fly to LA with a view to buy these two identical. We can't have the same color, so we need to take who. Anyway, so we get to la, we go to the dealership. We want to buy this cool hardtop hardtop convertible from Mercedes. A mechanical folding hardtop. So it's like a thing. That transformer car becomes a convertible if you press a button. Super cool. So we get there and they're like, okay, Mr. Nosek, here's your auto loan. Here are your keys. Mr. Levchin, your credit sucks, so we're not gonna sell you a car today. Wait a second. We literally just took PayPal public. I'm okay. I've paid off my student loans and everything. Yeah, but your credit score is really, really bad. So if you wanna buy a car today, you're gonna have to wire the total amount of money, which is like my future wife. Then girlfriend is like, ooh, okay, you didn't tell me that part of your biography. When we just started getting to know each other, what did you do? I started this company in college with Luke Nosek, who's in the room. And he knew and I didn't, that if you don't pay your credit card bills on time, it'll come and show up on your permanent record. So I had to, in fact, wire money. And as this dealership was wrapping up on the day they're like, oh yeah, we finally got your wire. Okay, here are your keys. So we dropped drove from LA to San Francisco on five, basically racing each other at some ungodly speeds and got pulled over at 2 o' clock in the morning. And the cops were very upset with us, but actually let us go because they were similarly fascinated by these cool new cars. So we didn't actually get into a lot of trouble, but got into a minor amount of trouble for going way too fast at 2 o' clock in the morning. But the story stuck with me because I was fine financially. Better than fine. I was, I was mid-20s and just never needed to work a day in my life. And yet the car dealer who knew who I was, he looked us up. He was like, oh yeah, you guys, you're PayPal kids. Cool. Yeah, you can buy a car. Sorry your credit suck. And I'm like, why does my credit report or my credit score not reflect the fact that I'm basically independently wealthy now? And that really stuck with me. And so I had a version of this conversation including the. And then Luke Nosek had a sweater wrapped around his head because it was really cold on five, middle of the night, and cops were really worried about him. Anyway, so the story comes up, or came up over and over and over again and I was like, I should do something about this. There's gotta be a credit score to be built around. Like, came to the US as a teenager with no record of any kind and $600 for a family of five and now, now independently wealthy Silicon Valley entrepreneur. It was like a five or seven year window between those two events. So it's not weird, but it's super weird. It's seven years, like, hello, I got a computer science degree, I was imminently employable. I started a bunch of companies, not all of them failed. And why did it not catch up to me at all? In fact, it seems to have had no bearing on my ability to borrow a fairly modest amount of money relative to everything else that's been sloshing around my head for years. And I finally sat down with, with another Luke Nosek friend from U of I was like, what if we built a better credit score? And so we're like, yeah, it wouldn't be too hard. So all of us are CS majors. We all have some number theory background, therefore, machine learning, therefore AI. And so we built a score and it was like, just use some publicly available data a little bit, sort of some other secret sauce. We built a score and like, oh, well, now we should make people lend money using our score because it's cool. And so I talked to some bankers, which is how I began the score of like, you're doing it wrong. Kid conversations. And they're like, yeah, no one's going to lend money using a score that no one else is lending money against. Like, what if it's a bad score? What if it doesn't work? And so if you tell an entrepreneur over and over again, this thing will never work unless someone does X. The natural response is, well, I will do X and see if it works. And so like, all right, I guess we're going to lend money. And so I'm just going to go and get into a lending business. At which point I was like, oh, oh, I gotta understand how this stuff works. I've never actually looked at lending very carefully. And that began the journey of like, okay, so how do credit cards really work? How do I manage to mess up my credit at the ripe age of 18 by missing 3 payments? How did that happen? And so a year later I was like, oh my God, this whole thing is so broken and no one even knows it. Revolving on a thousand dollar draw and finding yourself with a $3,000 debt a couple years later and you can't explain it, or getting a 0% loan, but not realizing that if you are a dollar short or a minute late, it will compound retroactively from the time it was written to you. So there are all these things that the industry built over the years that are just profoundly anti customer. It's one of the only industries in the world actually a great way of thinking about it. I think I heard someone else explain this to me this way. But it's the industry where you and your service provider face each other and you're like, hey, I want to borrow some money. Great, I'm going to bet on you failing. I'm going to give you a loan. But I want to believe that you're not going to fail completely, but you're going to be really late. Ideally you take forever to pay the loan back because I make more money that way. Optimally, we sneak in a few things you don't notice and it's all in a fine print, but I hope you don't read it. It is a very, very strange vestigial. Capitalism is supposed to get to efficiency. This got us into a bad part of the decision tree. It was like, what if I took a bunch of steps back into the branching point where you could have done the more consumer friendly thing and just did that over and over and over again. What product would I end up with? Oh, I ended up with a firm. That's how we got here.
Tim Ferriss
And what was your confidence in market adoption? So going out, you're pitching a firm for fundraising. And I mean, there's so many questions I could ask. You're at a point where you could probably self fund for a while. But what were some of your assumptions, correct or otherwise, that underpinned turning it into a business? So you have identified perverse incentives and predatory fine print and so on. So there's a problem, but then there are the bankers who are saying, hey, look, this will never work. But you're like, well, if I have to do X and get into the lending business, I'll get into the lending business. So maybe that answers the fundraising question, actually. But how did you have confidence that there was a there there from a business perspective?
Max Levchin
I would pitch this idea in its various forms. First of all, I did have to fund for a while on my own, which I didn't mind doing because I was getting completely obsessed with the idea. So as such things go, that was a small price to pay, relatively speaking. But I would keep on telling the story to somebody who was like a CEO or former CEO of a bank or somebody who managed a credit card portfolio, and they'd be like, okay, you're doing it wrong. All the money's in the late fees, the money's in delinquencies, just like, eh, come on. And I had two ideas that both turned out to be amazingly right, by the way. Every business is like, there's a moment of luck where people, Yeah, I don't really want to admit to it. The first had two. And there were ideas that I'll claim some ownership over, but I had no idea if I was right. And the first one, I read this study that said that millennials hate banks. It didn't really explain why. It was just like, millennials hate banks. They hate a lot of things Millennials. And every generation has a list of things they want to complain about. And like, ah, these complaining millennials. I'm not a millennial. I'm a, I guess, young Gen Xer. But millennials were definitely like, oh, they're such whiny people. But they were willing to participate in some study where they ranked all the things they hate. And the number one thing they hated, like 70% of millennials, according to that study, hated banks. So every time I would ask a banker, why can't this exist? Why can't there be a lending product that doesn't take advantage of people's unwillingness to read fine print and do exponential math. They're like, because banking is like the stickiest thing in the world. You bank where you live. And like, yeah, you kind of like your bank. It's where your parents banked. Like, you go to Marble hall and the vault and you like it. It's likable. I'm reading a study here that says that they hate you. Like, all the people that are going to be shopping and buying stuff 10 years from now, five years from now, they hate you. 78% of them think banks are terrible, they should go kill themselves. None of these people are like, I don't know, I don't believe that study. Okay? I mean, they serve like 10,000 people. That's a pretty stat sig study. So if I'm right and I do a thing that's even slightly better than the existing thing, I have a ready made audience of people that are going to be like, cool, I hate the other one. Anyway, at some point, I need an explanation beyond they hate it. And so what I realized, and I think this is the part that was lucky because I didn't know any better in the beginning, but I've since sort of confirmed this to be true. Millennials were were early teens during the great financial crisis. And so if you are getting booted out of your house in 08 and you're like an impressionable youth and you're asking your parents, like, what's going on? Why do we have to live in a motel now? Parents are like, because the bank, they just took the money. They took my house away. The embarrassment and the horror of telling your kids we're going to move to a smaller house or to a rental or to like, we're going to live on the streets, God forbid. And that's a horrible impression to have in your most impressionable years. And so I think there's a lot of people who are actually quite genuine in the. I am willing to try anything. But the thing that my parents got the sharp end of the stick for, and so that was kind of luck number one. And I really believed that from the very beginning, and it turned out to be true. If we build something that's normally you have to market it. You have to convince people to trust you and all this stuff, I think they don't need any of that. They just need the belief that there's a better thing out there that exists and they'll give it a try because they are predisposed to not liking the other part. And that sort out to become a bleacher, the other part. If you are unwilling to profit from all the sort of wacky externalities of financial services, you better be good at underwriting. So if you're lending money to someone, you are paving over underwriting mistakes or lack of underwriting or poor credit score.
Tim Ferriss
Can you define underwriting here?
Max Levchin
When somebody shows up and says, I'd like to borrow $100 and you want to respond to them in real time, you have some giant machine learning models model or a small machine learning model, decide yes or no. And what that practically means is it has to take whatever available data that person is willing to share, be it public or private data, run it through some form of classifier or. These days, all kinds of interesting architectural ideas exist in underwriting and say yes or no. But yes or no is actually not enough. What you really want is a price of risk. So it's some, for simplicity, expected value or expected loss. If I give you money today, what are the odds? What's the expected value of you bringing it back to me with the appropriate amount of interest, if that's what the price of the transaction is? And so underwriting is the discipline of doing that at scale, in our case, completely in real time. That's the score we built, the underwriting score. The credit score was that. And the theory that I had was credit scoring is hard and you would have to have the absolute best people working on it. And yet most of the time when you encounter people working on underwriting or credit scoring, they're not as impressive as people, I admit, met in my wandering in Silicon Valley up until that point. And I'm like, why is that? It's an interesting problem. It's quite mathematical. There's some various mathematically inclined people I know, and the best I could get to was, it's embarrassing to talk about that. You're working on loan and credit underwriting stuff at cocktail parties. When somebody asks you, what do you do? You're a math genius, you went to school for applied math or computer science. What do you do? One answer is, well, I went to Wall street and I built build real time trading models. That's kind of cool. Maybe it's not societally important, but you're doing something interesting. And there's all the other answers. I worked for the NSA and I break codes. That's cool. That's what I wanted to do when I was in college. If you're like, I make lots of loans and I make sure that they're Underwritten well and by the way, I make most of my profits by charging people late fees and sneaking in nasty terms. So there's got to be a latent pocket of talent of people who would absolutely work on underwriting because it's a really hard and really interesting process problem. But they won't join the industry until someone shows up and says I'm going to strip it of all the gunk. I'm going to make it completely transparent. I'm going to be super pro consumer. I'm going to take a lot of pride in the brand that we have, which stands for transparency and honesty and all the good things you can do if you would just take a broom to the whole thing. And so as I sort of formulated the product, I'm going to get my unfair share of really brilliant mathematicians because they're not going to go to Wall street because it's kind of a soul hollowing thing to do to squeeze pennies out of the market. They'd rather come to work for me and build underwriting models with me. Trying to help people in normal America borrow money and not feel screwed or not get screwed. And they're totally exactly right. We have people who've been here for 10, 11, 12 years doing that job who are still. I'm so proud of what I do. I'm a mathematician and I'm putting my big brain to work on making honest financial products. So those two things were where they're good ideas, but they're also a lot of luck.
Tim Ferriss
Those quarter on quarter growth rates that you were mentioning are kind of nuts. I mean, seems really remarkable. And I'm wondering, looking through your scrying ball into the future, what do you think E Commerce looks like this could be as it relates to a firm? It could be more broadly speaking in two to three years, years, who knows? Let's just pick that as an arbitrary timeline and does agentic commerce if that's actually going to be something that takes hold quickly if you think really affect a firm or do people state preferences in advance? So not really, it's just maybe the way that people purchase. Things change. But honestly for you, structurally things don't really change. I mean, how do you think about the future of E Commerce?
Max Levchin
First of all, the reason the growth rates are compounding at a almost $50 billion mark, 30 plus percent year over year, quarter after quarter after quarter is pretty awesome. It is a staggeringly good growth rate. It is made better by way of noticing that our credit related losses are super consistent. It's easy to Grow the top line. I've lent more money this quarter than I did last quarter. Great. But will it all come back? It's a really important question. And the way you measure the success of these underwriting models is you ask the question, okay, so you made a bunch of, of loans last quarter, last year. Average half life of our loan is like five months. So five months back you get a pretty good picture of how good are you relative to today's macroeconomic reality. And if you look at our loss numbers, our delinquency numbers, whatever metric you want to choose, they're really, really consistent. So we are in fact very good at underwriting. And yet even at 50 ish billion, we are but a footnote. So the overall credit card debt in the US last I looked was like 1.3 trillion trillion. So we're like scratching at the total size of just the credit card debt. Not all credit card transactions become debt. And there's plenty of debit card transactions. And so the overall size of commerce is enormous relative to where we are. And so our growth is not a surprise in a sense that what may have been a surprise at some point was people actually like this product. There are reasons to believe or reasons to say that this product is harder to use. So, so credit cards, and debit cards for that matter, is the single best financial interface ever created. If you think of the level of complexity that takes place when you take out your card and tap a checkout counter and just walk off with your cup of coffee, there's a lot of stuff that happens underneath. There's an acquiring bank, there's an issuing bank, they're talking through a network. There's all kinds of complexity just at a technical level and then there's credit and blah, blah. There's layers and layers and layers of many decades worth of innovation that make an incredible single transaction happen in a tap and off you go. And so when you introduce buy now, pay later, which is this idea, every transaction is separate. You're conscious of every transaction. You understand how long it's going to take to pay this transaction off. You're actually creating friction. You are giving people more steps. So one counter argument to why this thing makes any sense at all, why would you want to trade the beauty of tap and go with this? Open your app and do some stuff. And the answer is simple. The industry devolved and you don't really trust what's going to happen to you after you tap. So you hesitate and you're like, am I going to really be able to Afford it or is my card going to work? Am I going to get declined or am I going to go into debt that I probably shouldn't go into? Affirm offers the antidote of. You go into the app, you look at your purchasing power, you know exactly what we are comfortable lending to you. You get explicit approval. Approval next transaction is guaranteed to work. And by way of saying we're not going to charge you late fees or change any of the pricing, we're actually telling you you should feel very good about this transaction. We are going to make less money if you're a minute late. We'll make no money if you don't pay us. And we feel good about lending you this money. So what we sell or what we offer to the consumer and this is certainty and sense of control by way of creating some incremental friction. Fast forward a couple years. I don't have enough of a clear crystal ball to know exactly what agentic commerce looks like. But I know a lot of it is happening already and I think a lot more will will happen. The discretization of transactions and this incremental friction will be reduced. You don't actually have to do all the manual labor we are putting you through right now because your agents will do it for you. And so today we're offering a thing in exchange for some friction in tomorrow's world. We're offering the thing that obviously works. $50 billion can't be wrong. But the friction will go away or largely go away, which I think is just going to accelerate this whole approach to financial transactions. And the way people think about money will change towards. I know exactly what the total financial state I'm in. I have agents that are looking out for me. They won't get me into debt that I shouldn't be in. They will get me out of debt the second I should be out. I will have a PhD in consumer finance embedded in my phone looking out for every penny I got. There'll be no slop and by God, no one's gonna fool me again with fine print driven business model. So the world in which you have AI looking out for all of your financial concerns is a beautiful world because we are already there by way of not having any dependency on AI. You're too dumb to know what's happening to you, so just pay off. That's how the industry, a lot of the industry works today. So I'm very excited about the world where you don't have to change your business model because suddenly no one's getting fooled because that was never a part
Tim Ferriss
of our business model. I'm going to ask you might be naive, probably annoying, but it's going to be a how long until X happens? Type of question. So I apologize in advance for that. But I look at say China and WeChat. It's like the interface to everything in terms of purchasing, you name it. It's incredible what they've been able to do and there are a lot of reasons for that. And then I Look at say, ChatGPT, I look at Claude, and as you mentioned, with that tap to pay, a lot has to happen under the surface. So when people say, oh well, ChatGPT can just put ads into the LLM responses, I'm like, you may be underestimating the relationship building that Google has done over decades and decades and decades. There's a lot that goes into it. But I am curious to know how far away you think the reality is wherein someone can pull up a Claude or ChatGPT and ask questions and make purchases directly from a single interface. I don't know if that's the form it'll take. I suspect it'll probably be at least there'll be attempts made to create something like that. And then everything will happen in the background, including presumably some type of affirm like option if you select to do that. How far off do you think that is?
Max Levchin
It's very close. It's very dangerous to consider commerce as this uniform fabric that just kind of of want a thing, buy a thing. One of the dangers, by the way, of building on mass market products in Silicon Valley, if you're not inventing the future, in which case you're greenfield blank sheet of paper. If you're trying to improve something that exists and has existed for a while, it's essential you travel to where normal people live and see what they do. Because we are not normal in Silicon Valley, in a global Silicon Valley. This is not limited to San Francisco and the Bay Area. We think you just want a thing and buy a thing. And if that thing is $10, great. And if it's $10,000, well, we get paid a lot. So, okay, just buy the $10,000 thing and you care about speed and efficiency and less distraction and normal people actually hang back and like, whoa, it's $10,000. First of all, that's an incredible amount of money. And by the way, for someone who is not within these hot beds of growth and opportunity, maybe $1,000 is an incredible amount of money. Maybe $500 is an incredible amount of money. Depends on where you are. And the sort of ooh, I got to think about this. I want to make sure I'm not exposing myself to a bad financial decision. I also want to make sure I'm getting a good deal. How am I going to pay for this? How long is it going to be on my personal balance sheet before I'm done paying for it? Those are all questions people are very conscious of. And so for a lot of people in every part of the US agenda, commerce is here. When you tell instacart, bring me a sandwich or bring back your groceries and doordash bring me a sandwich or vice versa. And that's the threshold of is this enough money for me to sort of hang back and ask these questions for the ones who it is? Too much. They're probably not using these services just yet. For whom? It's sort of like, yeah, I want a sandwich and I want it now. And I'm going to outsource the rest of this to an agent, be it a human human or a robot. Don't care. You have my credit card number. Bring me a sandwich. And I think that's here today. And we will see more of that become a thing. And many things like real time delivery or near real time delivery. If you go to other markets, you have, I think in India somebody launched a six minutes or less delivery service which boggles my mind. But their storage of mass market market goods to buy at edge has got to be just like an exercise in extraordinary logistical prediction. Anyway, that stuff is here, it's coming and more will happen. The I want to know what I'm getting into. I want to have agency in selecting a thing. My taste matters to me is a thing that probably will always involve humans. I need a pair of pants is not actually a thing. 95%. If you're a Silicon Valley engineer and you're too busy coding and you just have a big hole your butt, you gotta need some pants agents. Bring me a pair of pants. Sure. For most of you, I want to make sure they fit and I want them to be my favorite color and I also want it to match the rest of my ensemble, hair and so on. And it goes up from there. I need a bicycle, but I have brand preferences and my components are important to me, et cetera, et cetera. And so AI will not replace the need for decision making and thoughtfulness in consumption. It will obviate some pieces like who has the best price on the bicycle. I want with the componentry that I prefer is a thing that you will gladly Outsource, you need to make sure it's real. You need to make sure that the data your LLMs are fetching for you is current. But that's what we're working on today. But at some point very soon you'll say, hey, Chatbot of the moment, or of my browser, of my desktop. I would like to buy a beautiful looking Italian made button bike with Shimano components. I want a good deal. I'm probably going to pay for it over time because it's expensive and I definitely don't want to pay no late fees and ideally I don't want to pay any interest. I'm bringing my business to someone who should be so lucky because multiple people will sell me a beautiful Italian made bike and go do some comparison shopping for me, bring me some images of beautiful bikes and I want to lust after all of them and then pick the one that gets my business. That's a great task for AI. The building blocks for that will include something like a firm where the AI will say, all right, so all these people offer some ways of paying. Some of them offer a firm which has no late fees and by the way, has negotiated a special deal with the manufacturer or the seller where they will pay your interest for you. So they're actually covering the time value of money. So the plan is interest free, which a lot of our transactions are interest free. Exactly. This way they're funded by the retailer or the manufacturer. And, and we're grasping at that future right now. We're certainly building a lot of the pieces. So I tend to be slightly ahead of schedule as far as the future I want to live in. I'm trying to pull it in here, but this is quarters, not years.
Tim Ferriss
Incredible, man.
Max Levchin
For the foreseeable future, there's so much to build. The thing that irks me the most in today's media is the saaspocalypse whatever. But the jobpocalypse people are proclaiming claiming is so goofy. There's so much opportunity to build so many exciting things for everyone. Not just Silicon Valley startup. Everyone from the oldest companies to the youngest ones are like, oh my God, there are all these pieces of software that I had to buy from someone who did a bad job or that I could never buy anywhere and I wouldn't know how to start with. Well, now you have all these amazing tools that just birth it for you straight from your head. Speaking of things you can put on your brain, very soon we're going to have have ultrasound, mind reading that spits code on the other side of it. That's what I'm waiting for.
Tim Ferriss
Seems a lot closer than I would have predicted if you asked me just a few years ago. It's wild.
Max Levchin
The world changed a bunch of times over the last 12 months, but I think the Claude code moment last December was a big whoa. It really is here. The ability to produce something from a glimmer in your mind to a thing that actually works, works reasonably well and has only improved since was like a big breaking point. The one before was obviously chatgpt and so on.
Tim Ferriss
A couple of rapid fire questions for you. Coffee. We're going to shortchange this one. I apologize. Maybe we do another podcast solely dedicated to coffee, but for people who want to improve their coffee experience. Cheap option, Intermediate option. Bugatti option option. Any thoughts on improving coffee experience?
Max Levchin
I'm not paid by any of these brands, so I just wanted make it very clear I have some very strong opinions.
Tim Ferriss
You? Strong opinions? Come on, man.
Max Levchin
Yeah, exactly. All right, so first of all, this is primarily relevant to espresso. I love all coffee in all forms. I happen to prefer espresso as a beverage of choice, but I don't judge. You can have your lattes, your Americanos, you know, whatever. But from the point of view of espresso and espresso based drinks, the single most important thing is the grinder. And so you can get a fantastic grinder, like a niche or kind of these $600, $700 grinders that will elevate your game to an incredible level. If you have a grinder that you didn't pay a couple hundred dollars for, gotta go do that. If you wanna get to like a demonstrably better grinder than sort of the $600 range, go get something that looks like a Kaeya Orbit. That's like a $1,600 to $2,000 grinder. Grinder. That's a gray grinder. You can swap out burrs. So switching out burrs is really important. But even if you're never going to replace your burrs, you still want something that's a fall through grinder. A good one will cost you on the order of $2,000, plus or minus. And then if you're like, you know what, no price too large, I'm going to get me the absolute fantastic home grinder. I mean, obviously there's like industrial strength stuff that's even out there. There's this thing called Weber workshops that produces unbelievably expensive but unbelievably good stuff. So if you Want Weber. God bless, that's a great product.
Tim Ferriss
Same company that makes the grills. No different.
Max Levchin
It's got to be totally different. I had this exact question yesterday. Anyway, so better grindr goes a very long way. After that go invest in skills. So there's an incredible number of online resources that'll teach you how to do a great job. I'm but a student of those people. There are many, many, many great videos you can watch on YouTube that'll teach you how to make a great cup of espresso. Before you buy anything else, just go watch all that stuff because it'll teach you a lot of things you don't. After that you're probably going to want to buy a good espresso machine. The great news is that there are many, many very good espresso machines. I don't want to begin religious wars here, so I'll state my preferences. But these are preferences. I prefer 58 millimeter portafilter diameter. Many people now swear by 54, 53 millimeter. You can go up or down, but I stick to the classics. I think the finest, most reliable home machine is made by La Marzocco. That is definitely in the multi thousand dol range. But that's what I have on my counter and it's never failed me. And it's beautiful in both inside and outside. There's lots of cool like if you're a super nerd and you really want to nerd out on the metrics, decent. Espresso is a fantastic product, really fun. But it's like an Android tablet that happens to be attached to an espresso machine. Basically La Marzocco is old school. That is the logo you'll find in every self respecting coffee shop. Like the long red typically spelled out La Marzocco. That's a granddaddy of them. While it's amazing and so on. And there are many, many other brands that will sell you a good espresso machine if you're trying to go down market a little bit. But Bulletproof will make a good cup every time. Breville, people tend to sort of hate on it a little bit because it's so consumer. But it makes great coffee.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah, Breville's surprisingly good.
Max Levchin
It's very, very good.
Tim Ferriss
I mostly just wanted you to showcase my obsession. Yeah, your obsession. I'm going to force your hand though on one here we're to going to take a side quest away from pure espresso territory. Chemex, French Press or Aeropress. If you had to do coffee with one of Those three.
Max Levchin
Chemex.
Tim Ferriss
Chemex. Why Chemex if you're going to go
Max Levchin
for a light roast? I mean each type of roast, each type of bean speaks to a method. So I happen it's like another heresy. By the way, in the modern day, I like medium dark roast. For my espresso. I love the honey viscous. Feels like it's too thick, you can almost chew it. I love that in espresso. That's a great cup of espresso for non espresso drinks. I actually love thin, high clarity, low body. Just give me the pure essence of not diluted, but the bean in water. And Chemex is probably the best one of those. It's certainly the most controllable. Beyond that, French press is great. I mean that's like a campfire type setup. And Aeropress, if you're going to go there, just get an espresso machine.
Tim Ferriss
Chemex, for those people wondering, will cost less than $600. And I will say also that you can get, correct me if I'm wrong, you're going to know this better than I do. But you can get. They're not going to be anywhere near as sophisticated as the devices you described. But if you are using for instance, a, a blade grinder, something that is not a burr grinder, and you get a handheld burr grinder, which you can probably buy for $100 or less, the difference between those two will still be noticeable. What would you think?
Max Levchin
You're in the territory where I'd probably be like, you know what? No coffee today. I'm kidding. I've been known to exhaust the local supply of pre ground pods in hotel rooms. So. So there's coffee and all the beauty of it and then there's caffeine and I need both. They're not the same, the spice grinders as they're known. You can definitely make a cup of coffee with that too. But that said, by the way, if you must have a thing that is not an electric grinder, get a manual grinder. Those are very cheap. I think Lido, if I recall, is a brand that'll sell you a very, very high end, but still an order of magnitude cheaper than any of the stuff that I threw out. I mean, it's a little bit of a good workout, but you'll make beautiful coffee with that. There's a really nice correlation to the lower the rpm, the less you're damaging, if you will, the bean as you're grinding it. So you can actually get some amazing taste out of manually Ground beans. It does take like 10 minutes per cup though. So you gotta be ready.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah. This is what I'm talking about. This is exactly what I'm talking about. So I wasn't totally misspeaking.
Max Levchin
Yeah.
Tim Ferriss
The Lido OG manual coffee grinder. This one's 273. There are some other options that I found at slightly lower prices which I thought did a nice job. It is a workout. It is a workout.
Max Levchin
But hey, switch arms every once in
Tim Ferriss
a while if you're going to go into the ritual of it. I know people who have traveled with something akin to that and AeroPress and some other stuff.
Max Levchin
AeroPress, great campfire attraction for sure. All right.
Tim Ferriss
I'm going to destroy any shred of respect that you have for me with respect to coffee by also saying if people want something simple. Cometeer. Actually I really enjoy some of their stuff. These frozen. Oh, the face if you guys aren't watching video. The response that I just got, you
Max Levchin
know, by the way. So I grew up drinking not just instant coffee which was hugely popular in Eastern Europe. I occasionally was exposed to chicory coffee which I don't know if you've ever
Tim Ferriss
tried that popular in New Orleans. They pack a lot of sugar.
Max Levchin
There's no coffee in it. It's just chicory roux.
Tim Ferriss
Oh God. So it's just like placebo. It's just.
Max Levchin
Yeah, it's like kind of sort of tastes a little bit like coffee maybe like you pour enough hot water into it if it's hot enough you're like, like ah, it doesn't smell right. But whatever. Yeah, it was in Soviet Union was one was marketed under coffee light coffee beverage stock. Something meant to evoke some plant component that both coffee bush and chicory's would share. So like well, you know, they both have it so it's good enough. It was disgusting but it like wake you up.
Tim Ferriss
So there is that. Yeah, chicory is pretty interesting from a fiber perspective. But I'll leave that for another conversation. Max, last question. This might be a terrible question to end on, but I am curious for someone who is technical or just a individual contributor in the sense that you were very technical and then grew into the CEO role and running a public company. Let's put that aside because that's a whole kettle of fish by itself. But any books or resources that you would recommend people who are hoping to become a CEO for the first time. Founder.
Max Levchin
Yes. So here's a couple. There's not a panacea. But I will preface this by saying I have extremely Low degree, by which I mean zero to negative. Of respect for business books. Vast majority of them are far too long present company exclusive included. Business books that are verbatim anecdotes of people who've done it are actually high value because I think it's very hard to distill what is inherently a collection of unique experiences. So you can edit it down, but you can't make it generalizable. Yeah, if you generalize it, you're robbing the reader of the true history of what really happened. So I'm a huge fan actually of what you do in your books because there's always so much color directly from the source versus I think this person meant X when they talked to me and I'm not gonna print to anything they said. Anyway, that said, I'm a big fan of business books that have been distilled to business essays because then I feel like the author did the work of like. I'm going to generalize. I'm going to really generalize it. There is this book called Seven Powers by Hamilton Himmler. If you haven't read it, it's a really worthwhile distillation of what it takes to build a competitively lasting business. It talks about why network businesses are are longer living than non network businesses and what brand actually means. Like people are like, oh, I'm going to build a brand. Why do you care about having a brand? And so it's a great book. Distills a ton of these things that you kind of think you know, but they need names and terminologies and idiosyncratic in a sense that I didn't think of the word power, didn't think of the term power until I read his book. And I found it to be a great kind of a distillation. It's very short, slightly shorter than Mastermind Margarita. So anyway, that's a good book. Another good book that is off the beaten path, but a great one called A Failure of Nerve. It's a book about leadership and it really postulates this concept of differentiated leader. As a CEO, as a founder. A lot of times you find yourself at odds with your own team where you're making an unpopular decision, you're firing a beloved employee. Whenever there's doubt, there's no doubt, then you go do it and you're like, whoa, holy crap, what have you done? So you find yourself in these moments where you have to persevere before and then after a decision that you made and many, many flavors of it. It's a good book that Kind of teaches you how to think about it, how to tolerate the stress that comes with it, how to sort of put up with the pressure you're going to get and not lose your humanity and not become a tyrant, but also not be someone who is easily bowled over into like, okay, okay, I'll reverse my decision. Because then you lose the confidence of the people you're supposed to lead. So. So that's a great book. I am sure it's in your list and everyone's list, but you should read if you haven't read it. If you're trying to start a business, you should read Influence by Cialdini, because that is probably the most important social science book published in the last 50 years.
Tim Ferriss
So good.
Max Levchin
It's a great book.
Tim Ferriss
I'm shocked that I had never heard of Seven Powers. And I just looked it up. The Forwards, written by Reed Hastings of Netflix, have never even heard of it. That's shocking.
Max Levchin
There you go.
Tim Ferriss
I'm excited.
Max Levchin
If there's one thing you find in
Tim Ferriss
this podcast, any biographies, they don't have to be business related, but biographies that have informed how you approach leadership or running companies. It could be indirect too, right? It could be a biography and how it informed your view on persistence through stories or anything.
Max Levchin
So Chernow wrote a bunch of these tomes speaking of enormous books. So there's everything from the J.P. morgan.
Tim Ferriss
Hamilton. Hamilton.
Max Levchin
Yeah, yeah, exactly.
Tim Ferriss
Washington, a life grant. Mark Twain.
Max Levchin
Yeah, so Mark Twain is a great one.
Tim Ferriss
Titan is a huge one.
Max Levchin
So Titan is probably the one that's closest to business advice. It's a bit of a how to be ruthless, basically, but that's besides the point.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah, it's the life of John D. Rockefeller. The COVID photo looks just like the vampire in Nosferatu. It's terrifying, but yes, exactly kind of apparatus.
Max Levchin
Those are great books. There's a great book called A Mind at Play, which is Claude Shannon's biography, by the way. When I was preparing for our conversation, not nearly as well as you are, I was listening to your conversation with Ed Thorpe, who I knew a little bit about, but I was like, oh my God, that guy's flipping amazing. I want to be like him when I grow up. He's now 1A of the list of people I'd like to meet at some point in my life.
Tim Ferriss
So incredible.
Max Levchin
It just seems like an obligation. So he was friends with Claude Shannon. That alone makes him unbelievably interesting. So Claude Shannon is kind of like a platonic ideal of what I thought I was going to be before I left academia because the guy is just brilliant in every way. Everything he touched became this flower of intellectual brilliance.
Tim Ferriss
American polymath and mathematician, right?
Max Levchin
Yeah.
Tim Ferriss
Why does Shannon stick out to you so much?
Max Levchin
Fun fact. Claude, code named after Shannon.
Tim Ferriss
I did not know that. That's incredible.
Max Levchin
I didn't learn it from anthropic people, but I would be shocked if that's not the answer. Claude is not a common name and Shannon is obviously the inventor or the postulator of the information theory.
Tim Ferriss
Right. Father of information theory.
Max Levchin
Anyway, he is a great example of someone who worked on some very serious stuff and was always playful. He's like Richard Feynman of computer science. So Feynman was famously brilliant. And there's a great quote from Murray Yehlman. Somebody asked him, what's your algorithm for solving really hard problems? Encounter a really hard problem. Step two, give it to Richard Feynman. Step three, receive solution. Shannon was kind of that in computer science. Proto computer science, obviously. He was building this in the 40s, 50s, 60s, and he managed to remain fun. He managed to have fun. He was just this unbelievable fountain of fun ideas. And he was like a hardware tinkerer and made card counting devices and all kinds of hilarious stuff.
Tim Ferriss
Yeah. Makes sense that he would know Ed Thorpe, right? Who beat the roulette table, of course.
Max Levchin
Exactly. And so that's a good book about him. These days it's so hard to read books because there's so much content online in podcast and blog form that you're sort of like, I'll get to this thing. It's content online feels ephemeral. So you're like, I must read this now because it might scroll off and I'll never see it again again. A book is in my hand. I have books in my backpack that I travel with that I've been meaning to read for half a year now, and I still haven't opened them and just carry the weight.
Tim Ferriss
I have a 500 page graphic novel that I'm going to be lugging to New York City because still the digital experience just doesn't do it. But the burden I bear.
Max Levchin
I keep on looking for a great digital graphic novel consumption experience, but it does not come close.
Tim Ferriss
It's not there. We'll be able to replay our dreams before we get that max. So much fun to hang. Thanks for taking the time. And where would you like to point people? We've got levchin.com, we have sci fi, VC, we have various social affirm, of course, affirm.com. there's a lot we could point people to. Anything else you'd like to add? Whether it's pointing people somewhere or closing comments. Anything else at all?
Max Levchin
No, my work is out there. I try to build in public if you're interested in affirm. Obviously affirm.com is where you find that I tend to go deep. So my project list is short at any given moment, but leftchin.net, leftchin.com, either one is the list of those things.
Tim Ferriss
Amazing Max. Thank you again for taking the time and everybody listening. We will link to all of the things we mentioned. Books and resources and people and everything else of course. Firm, of course, and on and on and on in the show notes as per usual, Tim Blog Podcasts just search Levchin. I can promise you he will be the only one. I might be the only Max. In fact, on the podcast so far. We'll find out. I might eat my words. And until next time, of course, thank you for tuning in. But be just a bit kinder than is necessary to others, but also to yourself. And that's all for now. Thanks again Max.
Max Levchin
Great to see you. Safe travels.
Tim Ferriss
Hey guys, this is Tim again. Just one more thing before you take off and that is five Bullet Friday Would you enjoy getting a short email from me every Friday that provides a little fun before the weekend? Between 1 and a half and 2 million people subscribe to my free newsletter, my super short newsletter called five Bullet Friday. Easy to sign up, easy to cancel. It is basically a half page that I send out every Friday to share the cool, coolest things I found or discovered or have started exploring over that week. It's kind of like my diary of cool things. It often includes articles I'm reading, books I'm reading, albums, perhaps gadgets, gizmos, all sorts of tech tricks and so on that get sent to me by my friends, including a lot of podcast guests. And these strange, esoteric things end up in my field and then I test them and then I share them with you. So if you if that sounds fun again, it's very short. A little tiny bite of goodness before you head off for the weekend. Something to think about. If you'd like to try it out, just go to Tim Blog Friday, type that into your browser. Tim Blog Friday. Drop in your email and you'll get the very next one. Thanks for listening. Most people's finances live in, say, a dozen places. This includes me, accounts, cards, investments and more that never talk to one another or it's hard to keep track of. This episode sponsor and one of my team's absolute favorite tools. Monarch is the all in one personal finance app that uses AI to give you a complete, organized view of your money, accounts, investments, net worth, savings goal. All in one place, always up to date. A bunch of my friends also love this. Monarch has helped users save more than $200 per month on average and you can ask it all sorts of of things. You can ask Monarch's AI assistant anything about your money. Am I on pace to hit my savings well by December? Or how has my travel spend trended over the last six months? You can ask it anything. Monarch then analyzes months of data so you don't have to. And with AI insights, Monarch flags things you don't think to look for so it can go beyond your question. And now you can get half off of your first year of Monarch with code Tim@monarch.com that's just $50 dollars for your first year at monarch.com with code Tim one more time monarch.com that's M O N A R C H monarch.com code Tim one name that has come up on this podcast more than once is Dr. Walter Longo, USC professor with decades of peer reviewed research on fasting, nutrition and aging. And as some of you long term listeners know or readers, I regularly fast. I've done a lot of experimentations with fasting over more than a decade, including intermittent fasting, extended water only fasts up to 10 days and I've looked at the before and after. Frankly, the fasting has been one of the most incredible unlocks that I have found. The before and after. Looking at glucose control, oral glucose tolerance tests, hemoglobin A1C, etc. All these things that really do matter for the long term for mental health, for physical health have had dramatic, dramatic shifts. And I've talked about that before. But the sad truth, the truth about fasting is that it can be really hard. And that is why Walter is interesting. He's best known for something called the Fast Mimicking Diet fmd, which is essentially a way of eating that produces many of the benefits of fasting while still allowing you to eat food. So if we look at that a little more closely, he took what he learned in these randomized controlled trials and so on and packaged it into a five day program called Prolon P R O L O N. It's five days. So for five days you restrict your food a bit and what Prolon does is makes it idiot proof comes in one box. Everything is laid out. There's no guesswork. You just follow the packages and in scientific studies, five day cycles of the fast mimicking diet, improved markers tied to metabolic health and aging, help people drop fat while holding on to lean muscle and even associated with measurable drops in biological age. And to put some numbers to it, with glycemic management, blood sugar management, we were able to see 1 RCT improvements in 53% of FMD participants versus 8% of controls. So it does make a difference. You get the benefits of fasting including autophagy, your body's cells regular self cleanup process while still eating real structured plant based meals so you don't have to negotiate with yourself, you don't have to struggle. It all comes in one box and it's right there laid out, simple to follow. And there are other people who recognize friends of mine like Patrol who also have used Prolon for a limited time. Prolon is offering my listeners 15% off site wide plus a 40% bonus gift. When you subscribe to their five day program just visit prolonlife. Com Tim that's P R O L O M L I F E Com Tim to claim your 15% discount and your bonus gift.
Guest: Max Levchin
Title: PayPal and Affirm — The Path from The Soviet Union to Building Multi-Billion Dollar Companies (Plus: Real-World Socialism vs. Capitalism)
Release Date: June 9, 2026
In this deep-dive conversation, Tim Ferriss sits down with Max Levchin, co-founder of PayPal and Affirm, to trace his journey from Soviet Ukraine to Silicon Valley, delving into topics like leadership, product obsession, socialism vs. capitalism, building ethical fintech products, metrics-driven living, and much more. Levchin shares personal stories, philosophy, and actionable insights for founders, technologists, and anyone interested in how formative early experience shapes world-class entrepreneurs.
Notable Quote:
"Whenever there is any doubt, there is no doubt." — Max Levchin, quoting Ronin (03:45)
Levchin explains why this line has guided both personal and professional decisions:
Quotes & Reflections:
"At least in my experience with employees and hires, it's always: I should have done that a lot sooner..." — Tim Ferriss (05:10)
"The future is already here, it's just not evenly distributed." — Tim Ferriss quoting William Gibson (22:33)
Most Common Gift: The Master and Margarita by Mikhail Bulgakov (24:24—28:04)
"I thought she was quoting Master Margarita.… I quoted the next line and she was like, oh my God, Master Margarita, that's my favorite book. Like, no, it's my favorite book. And it's been 27 years and two children and a very happy life together." — Max Levchin (28:29)
Other Key Books Discussed:
"Don't go to bed angry. Stay up and fight." (37:37)
"I've definitely gotten much better at deciding what matters, what doesn't..." (40:07)
"Shut up, legs. Do what I tell you to do."
"If it hurts me, it must hurt the other ones twice as much." (51:02)
Quote:
"If I didn't have my day job, I'd spend a lot of time screaming from every street corner, 'don't fall for the trap.' It's a surefire way of getting to no progress at all." — Max Levchin (58:49)
"Late fees is where the profit is. Half the profit comes from late fees. So you just cut your profitability opportunity by half." — Max Levchin (69:00)
On Making Decisive Calls:
"You know the answer. You maybe too scared, too embarrassed… but you know the answer. So, let’s not mess around." — Max Levchin (03:48)
On Master & Margarita and His Marriage:
"Because I know the book as well as I do… I quoted the next line and she was like, 'Oh, my God, Master Margarita, that's my favorite book.' Like, 'No, it's my favorite book.' And it's been 27 years and two children and a very happy life together." (28:29)
On Marrying and Working With a Spouse:
"I'm still trying to impress this girl… that's the secret to the best marriage." (31:01)
"Don't go to bed angry. Stay up and fight." (37:37)
On Soviet Socialism:
"You would very quickly notice that the people whose job was to sell you things from behind the counter were always very fat, while everyone you knew was always very skinny. ... Because they're stealing, they get access to the food." (53:39)
"Seductive story of socialism really appeals… but if I didn’t have my day job, I’d spend a lot of time screaming from every street corner, don’t fall for the trap. It’s a surefire way of getting to no progress at all." (58:49)
On Affirm’s Product Ethos:
"We purified it down to no fees, no revolving, simple schedule, everything is pre priced, everything is super transparent..." (65:55)
On Banking Industry Critique:
"It's the industry where you and your service provider face each other and you're like, hey, I want to borrow some money. Great, I'm going to bet on you failing." (75:44)
On the Future of E-Commerce:
"Your agents will do it for you… I will have a PhD in consumer finance embedded in my phone looking out for every penny I got." (84:36)
With a mix of irreverence, rigor, and humility, Max Levchin invites listeners to reflect on the philosophical lessons of fiction, the perils and promise of ideology, and the craftsmanship required to build ethical, durable companies. The episode offers a goldmine of lessons on decision-making, analysis, partnership, product strategy, and even coffee—delivered in an engaging, story-driven style.
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